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Qual 762016 Hawaii Regional
Red70
285326.3
244522.6
622716.0
Blue39
243834.1
372113.2
244110.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66640501001502007039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2853
#7
26.30.5
25.9→26.4
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End3.2
blue by 7.8
2438
#9
34.11.8
36.2→34.4
Auto12.6
Teleop17.6
End4.0
Second
2445
#19
22.60.4
22.4→22.8
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End4.6
red by 9.4
3721
#33
13.21.8
14.9→13.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End0.2
Third
6227
#29
16.00.5
15.6→16.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.8
End3.4
red by 6.0
2441
#36
10.01.8
11.7→10.0
Auto2.5
Teleop6.6
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed