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Red62
300823.8
560514.8
617913.8
Blue113
243937.2
35954.6
285326.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43100020608012014016062113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3008
#21
23.80.8
20.721.5
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End4.8
blue by 30.8
359
#1
54.61.6
53.855.5
Auto15.6
Teleop32.1
End6.9
Second
5605
#31
14.81.3
15.616.9
Auto3.1
Teleop11.0
End0.7
blue by 22.3
37.22.7
19.422.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.0
Third
6179
#28
13.81.3
13.715.1
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End2.2
blue by 12.5
26.32.7
15.117.8
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned