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Semifinal 1-12016 Hawaii Regional
Red112
36838.2
35954.6
545316.2
Blue150
425326.8
388034.1
508727.0
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1459950200112150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
54.60.5
56.1→55.7
Auto15.6
Teleop32.1
End6.9
red by 20.4
3880
#6
34.10.4
34.1→34.4
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End3.5
Second
368
#2
38.20.5
39.8→39.3
Auto8.6
Teleop24.8
End4.8
red by 11.3
5087
#18
27.00.4
26.9→27.3
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.2
Third
5453
#26
16.20.5
17.8→17.3
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End1.6
blue by 10.6
4253
#11
26.80.4
26.7→27.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5