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Semifinal 1-22016 Hawaii Regional
Red129
36838.2
35954.6
545316.2
Blue77
425326.8
388034.1
508727.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1431015020012977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
54.60.2
55.7→55.5
Auto15.6
Teleop32.1
End6.9
red by 20.4
3880
#6
34.10.4
34.4→34.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End3.5
Second
368
#2
38.20.2
39.3→39.2
Auto8.6
Teleop24.8
End4.8
red by 11.3
5087
#18
27.00.4
27.3→26.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.2
Third
5453
#26
16.20.2
17.3→17.1
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End1.6
blue by 10.6
4253
#11
26.80.4
27.1→26.7
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5