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Semifinal 2-12016 Hawaii Regional
Red114
243834.1
243937.2
244522.6
Blue154
244331.6
313230.4
252229.4
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1191156080100140160180114154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2439
#3
37.20.5
38.2→37.7
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.0
red by 5.5
2443
#17
31.60.2
32.1→32.4
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Second
2438
#9
34.10.5
35.2→34.7
Auto12.6
Teleop17.6
End4.0
red by 3.8
3132
#4
30.40.2
30.9→31.1
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End4.7
Third
2445
#19
22.60.5
23.6→23.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End4.6
blue by 6.8
2522
#24
29.40.2
29.9→30.2
Auto12.3
Teleop13.6
End3.4