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Semifinal 2-22016 Hawaii Regional
Red110
243834.1
243937.2
244522.6
Blue96
244331.6
313230.4
252229.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711610010511012012513013511096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2439
#3
37.20.1
37.7→37.6
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.0
red by 5.5
2443
#17
31.60.4
32.4→32.0
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Second
2438
#9
34.10.1
34.7→34.6
Auto12.6
Teleop17.6
End4.0
red by 3.8
3132
#4
30.40.4
31.1→30.7
Auto7.6
Teleop18.1
End4.7
Third
2445
#19
22.60.1
23.1→23.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End4.6
blue by 6.8
2522
#24
29.40.4
30.2→29.8
Auto12.3
Teleop13.6
End3.4