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Qual 12016 Hopper Division
Red129
23133.7
458748.6
425633.0
Blue71
121831.9
273327.7
341430.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1139640608012014016018012971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#11
48.60.8
43.2→44.0
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
red by 16.7
1218
#62
31.92.0
36.5→34.5
Auto8.8
Teleop18.2
End4.9
Second
231
#10
33.70.8
34.8→35.6
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
red by 3.0
3414
#61
30.72.0
33.1→31.1
Auto9.8
Teleop16.7
End4.2
Third
4256
#22
33.00.8
29.0→29.8
Auto6.7
Teleop19.8
End6.5
red by 5.3
2733
#29
27.72.0
26.3→24.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.7
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
8%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsMissed