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Red128
496747.2
77120.9
176932.3
Blue106
30337.3
247140.3
42229.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96111050150200128106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#14
47.21.8
46.147.9
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
red by 7.0
2471
#44
40.30.0
40.240.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.5
End5.0
Second
1769
#55
32.31.8
30.532.3
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End5.3
blue by 5.1
303
#6
37.30.0
36.536.5
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
Third
771
#49
20.91.8
19.120.9
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.1
blue by 8.0
422
#60
29.00.0
28.929.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned91%Capture oddsEarned