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Red88
77120.9
19337.5
81230.8
Blue110
492029.9
437738.0
421636.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931072040608012014016018088110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193
#45
37.50.3
38.938.7
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
blue by 0.5
4377
#38
38.00.1
37.837.7
Auto8.8
Teleop19.5
End9.7
Second
812
#71
30.80.3
32.231.9
Auto8.5
Teleop18.6
End3.7
blue by 5.2
4216
#41
36.10.1
35.034.9
Auto11.3
Teleop20.3
End4.4
Third
771
#49
20.90.3
21.020.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.1
blue by 8.9
4920
#52
29.90.1
28.728.6
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed26%Capture oddsMissed