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Qual 812016 Hopper Division
Red112
34645.3
454723.1
516635.1
Blue116
240525.3
7043.7
509829.5
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100101050150200250112116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#9
45.30.0
42.5→42.5
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
red by 1.6
70
#28
43.70.2
45.5→45.7
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
Second
5166
#39
35.10.0
32.5→32.5
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End8.1
red by 5.6
5098
#37
29.50.2
27.6→27.8
Auto9.6
Teleop15.4
End4.4
Third
4547
#68
23.10.0
22.0→22.0
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End4.1
blue by 2.2
2405
#63
25.30.2
25.0→25.2
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsMissed