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Red151
101137.3
496747.2
86947.4
Blue88
421636.1
523226.2
67024.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1467705010020015188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
869
#40
47.41.3
46.948.2
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
red by 11.4
4216
#41
36.10.1
34.934.8
Auto11.3
Teleop20.3
End4.4
Second
4967
#14
47.21.3
47.548.8
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
red by 21.0
5232
#56
26.20.1
26.726.6
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Third
1011
#43
37.31.3
37.138.4
Auto8.5
Teleop23.9
End5.0
red by 12.8
670
#69
24.50.1
23.223.0
Auto7.3
Teleop14.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
80%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed