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Red110
173043.8
42229.0
301926.5
Blue123
543134.3
424134.2
34645.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99115406080140160180110123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#51
43.80.1
41.341.4
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
blue by 1.5
346
#9
45.30.9
42.543.4
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Second
422
#60
29.00.1
29.029.1
Auto7.7
Teleop17.3
End4.0
blue by 5.3
5431
#16
34.30.9
32.233.1
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
Third
3019
#66
26.50.1
28.328.4
Auto4.6
Teleop15.7
End6.3
blue by 7.7
4241
#32
34.20.9
34.835.7
Auto8.5
Teleop18.5
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed