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Final 12016 Iowa Regional
Red160
52548.1
517254.9
120829.6
Blue136
173042.6
177539.5
172325.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16313150100150200250160136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#1
54.90.4
55.3→54.9
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End8.3
red by 12.2
1730
#4
42.60.4
43.6→43.1
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End8.1
Second
525
#2
48.10.5
48.6→48.1
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 8.6
1775
#3
39.50.4
40.5→40.0
Auto8.1
Teleop22.5
End8.9
Third
1208
#35
29.60.4
30.0→29.6
Auto8.0
Teleop17.2
End4.3
red by 4.3
1723
#29
25.30.4
26.2→25.8
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End4.8