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Quarterfinal 2-32016 Iowa Regional
Red120
251241.5
544239.3
17126.6
Blue120
288341.6
313032.6
222021.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137114050100150200250120120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#8
41.50.4
42.2→41.7
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
Level
2883
#11
41.60.1
41.5→41.6
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End5.9
Second
5442
#6
39.30.4
39.9→39.5
Auto10.1
Teleop26.1
End3.1
red by 6.7
3130
#9
32.60.1
32.5→32.6
Auto10.6
Teleop15.5
End6.5
Third
171
#14
26.60.5
27.4→26.9
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End6.8
red by 4.7
2220
#36
21.90.1
21.8→21.9
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End3.9