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Qual 152016 Iowa Regional
Red115
517254.9
115632.8
64827.4
Blue109
375031.5
177539.5
306725.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93824060100120140160115109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#1
54.92.5
43.4→45.9
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End8.3
red by 15.3
1775
#3
39.52.1
35.5→37.6
Auto8.1
Teleop22.5
End8.9
Second
1156
#31
32.82.9
21.3→24.2
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End3.0
red by 1.2
3750
#44
31.52.5
26.5→28.9
Auto5.8
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Third
648
#15
27.42.9
24.0→26.9
Auto10.5
Teleop10.4
End6.5
red by 2.1
3067
#43
25.33.1
19.1→22.2
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsEarned