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Red70
363027.3
308121.4
530615.3
Blue82
329815.0
328438.3
16728.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions557202040801001201407082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
#21
27.31.0
18.419.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
blue by 11.0
38.31.2
30.131.3
Auto8.6
Teleop23.4
End6.3
Second
3081
#48
21.41.0
20.421.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End4.7
blue by 6.6
167
#12
28.01.7
21.122.7
Auto7.7
Teleop15.6
End4.7
Third
5306
#53
15.31.0
17.118.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End2.4
red by 0.4
3298
#34
15.01.4
15.917.4
Auto0.8
Teleop12.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed