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Qual 192016 Iowa Regional
Red87
481828.8
375031.5
182528.7
Blue111
464632.8
176425.3
52548.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75101406012014016087111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3750
#44
31.50.8
28.9→29.8
Auto5.8
Teleop17.1
End8.6
blue by 16.6
525
#2
48.11.3
38.5→39.8
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End10.3
Second
4818
#5Sur
28.80.8
18.1→19.0
Auto6.6
Teleop16.3
End5.9
blue by 4.0
4646
#19Sur
32.80.8
34.9→35.7
Auto11.8
Teleop17.3
End3.7
Third
1825
#27
28.70.7
30.0→30.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End4.8
red by 3.4
1764
#25
25.30.8
21.0→21.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned