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Qual 212016 Iowa Regional
Red64
593515.8
392830.4
423027.9
Blue72
363027.3
241029.8
616417.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696640506080901006472

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#33
30.40.3
25.8→25.4
Auto5.7
Teleop19.6
End5.0
red by 0.5
2410
#23
29.80.5
28.5→28.9
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.4
Second
4230
#30
27.90.2
24.7→24.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End4.5
red by 0.6
3630
#21
27.30.8
19.4→20.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
Third
5935
#49
15.80.3
16.5→16.1
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End1.9
blue by 1.6
6164
#28
17.30.8
17.1→17.9
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed