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Qual 292016 Iowa Regional
Red96
583727.3
318425.4
251241.5
Blue112
423027.9
557630.4
517254.9
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691082040608010012014016096112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#8
41.51.7
35.3→37.0
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
blue by 13.3
5172
#1
54.91.0
45.9→46.9
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End8.3
Second
5837
#20
27.32.5
20.1→22.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.1
End5.1
blue by 3.1
5576
#17
30.41.4
28.8→30.3
Auto5.7
Teleop19.4
End5.3
Third
3184
#42
25.42.5
17.7→20.2
Auto6.6
Teleop16.9
End1.9
blue by 2.6
4230
#30
27.91.0
24.5→25.4
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed