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Qual 312016 Iowa Regional
Red125
115632.8
288341.6
270529.1
Blue44
433023.6
530615.3
392830.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions966220408012014016012544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#11
41.62.4
40.3→42.7
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End5.9
red by 11.2
3928
#33
30.42.4
25.4→23.1
Auto5.7
Teleop19.6
End5.0
Second
1156
#31
32.83.5
25.7→29.3
Auto7.8
Teleop21.9
End3.0
red by 9.2
4330
#24
23.61.4
21.7→20.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End3.7
Third
2705
#13
29.13.5
22.2→25.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.6
End5.5
red by 13.7
5306
#53
15.32.4
18.1→15.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed