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Qual 472016 Iowa Regional
Red92
590614.4
173042.6
306725.3
Blue64
423027.9
222021.9
530615.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767240601001209264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
#4
42.60.9
39.6→40.5
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End8.1
red by 14.7
4230
#30
27.90.4
26.6→26.2
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End4.5
Second
3067
#43
25.31.5
23.2→24.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End4.3
red by 3.4
2220
#36
21.90.4
26.1→25.7
Auto8.5
Teleop9.6
End3.9
Third
5906
#50
14.41.5
10.7→12.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End0.1
blue by 1.0
5306
#53
15.30.7
17.6→16.9
Auto2.8
Teleop10.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed