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Qual 492016 Iowa Regional
Red137
302627.8
52548.1
517254.9
Blue85
17126.6
181019.9
288341.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12087406010014016018013785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#1
54.91.7
48.9→50.6
Auto15.3
Teleop31.2
End8.3
red by 13.3
2883
#11
41.60.6
44.4→43.8
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End5.9
Second
525
#2
48.12.8
40.1→42.9
Auto13.0
Teleop24.8
End10.3
red by 21.5
171
#14
26.61.1
26.6→25.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.6
End6.8
Third
3026
#38
27.82.8
22.8→25.6
Auto8.7
Teleop15.1
End4.0
red by 7.9
1810
#51
19.90.6
18.4→17.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed