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Qual 52016 Iowa Regional
Red51
176425.3
216420.4
593515.8
Blue132
313032.6
64827.4
251241.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5491020408010012014016051132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#25
25.30.5
22.3→21.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.0
End4.7
blue by 16.3
2512
#8
41.53.8
32.7→36.5
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
Second
2164
#32
20.40.5
19.7→19.2
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End1.2
blue by 12.2
3130
#9
32.64.4
30.2→34.6
Auto10.6
Teleop15.5
End6.5
Third
5935
#49
15.80.9
15.8→14.9
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End1.9
blue by 11.7
648
#15
27.44.4
19.6→24.0
Auto10.5
Teleop10.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned