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Qual 592016 Iowa Regional
Red89
433023.6
182528.7
582326.3
Blue96
363027.3
583727.3
481828.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77710501001502002508996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#27
28.70.3
31.3→31.6
Auto8.8
Teleop15.1
End4.8
blue by 0.2
4818
#5
28.81.4
23.3→24.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.3
End5.9
Second
5823
#22
26.30.6
21.2→21.8
Auto7.9
Teleop14.3
End4.1
blue by 1.0
5837
#20
27.32.3
24.5→26.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.1
End5.1
Third
4330
#24
23.60.3
21.4→21.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.2
End3.7
blue by 3.7
3630
#21
27.32.3
22.1→24.4
Auto9.2
Teleop14.3
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
87%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed