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Red134
173042.6
251241.5
328438.3
Blue84
375031.5
453631.8
504116.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125675010015020013484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.1
40.541.6
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End8.1
red by 10.8
4536
#10
31.81.1
28.529.7
Auto9.2
Teleop16.3
End6.4
Second
41.51.1
38.539.5
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
red by 10.0
3750
#44
31.50.7
28.829.5
Auto5.8
Teleop17.1
End8.6
Third
38.31.1
34.135.2
Auto8.6
Teleop23.4
End6.3
red by 21.6
5041
#46
16.81.1
16.417.5
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed