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Red74
306725.3
247017.2
504116.8
Blue45
590614.4
388327.4
616417.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50650204060801007445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3067
#43
25.30.9
20.721.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End4.3
blue by 2.1
3883
#37
27.41.6
27.826.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.9
End4.4
Second
2470
#45
17.20.9
14.515.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 0.1
6164
#28
17.31.5
19.818.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Third
5041
#46
16.80.8
15.216.1
Auto4.2
Teleop11.5
End1.1
red by 2.4
5906
#50
14.41.6
13.211.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed