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Qual 862016 Iowa Regional
Red73
616417.3
288341.6
593515.8
Blue103
181625.5
173042.6
216420.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7893406012014016018073103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#11
41.60.7
43.5→42.8
Auto9.5
Teleop26.1
End5.9
blue by 1.1
1730
#4
42.61.0
44.4→45.4
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End8.1
Second
6164
#28
17.30.9
18.2→17.3
Auto7.1
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 8.2
1816
#18
25.51.0
24.6→25.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Third
5935
#49
15.80.9
16.7→15.8
Auto2.4
Teleop11.4
End1.9
blue by 4.7
2164
#32
20.41.0
19.5→20.4
Auto6.4
Teleop12.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned