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Semifinal 2-12016 Iowa Regional
Red131
173042.6
177539.5
172325.3
Blue153
328438.3
481828.8
241029.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14211550100200250131153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.6
44.243.6
Auto10.8
Teleop23.8
End8.1
red by 4.3
38.30.1
38.538.6
Auto8.6
Teleop23.4
End6.3
Second
39.50.6
41.140.5
Auto8.1
Teleop22.5
End8.9
red by 9.7
2410
#23
29.80.1
30.030.1
Auto6.8
Teleop17.6
End5.4
Third
1723
#29
25.30.6
26.826.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End4.8
blue by 3.6
28.80.1
29.029.1
Auto6.6
Teleop16.3
End5.9