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Red137
325048.4
212241.9
351320.6
Blue139
324531.3
323040.9
593122.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15011550100200137139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.40.5
48.848.4
Auto15.2
Teleop22.8
End10.4
red by 7.5
40.90.1
41.040.9
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
Second
41.90.5
42.441.9
Auto11.7
Teleop21.2
End9.0
red by 10.7
3245
#10
31.30.1
31.431.3
Auto8.2
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Third
3513
#22
20.60.5
21.020.6
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 1.7
5931
#16
22.30.1
22.422.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End2.8