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Quarterfinal 1-22016 Idaho Regional
Red180
325048.4
212241.9
351320.6
Blue110
412530.1
259429.3
314522.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1519450200250180110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3250
#5
48.40.4
48.1→48.5
Auto15.2
Teleop22.8
End10.4
red by 18.2
4125
#18
30.10.1
30.1→30.1
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.1
Second
2122
#1
41.90.4
41.7→42.1
Auto11.7
Teleop21.2
End9.0
red by 12.7
2594
#13
29.30.1
29.2→29.3
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End5.4
Third
3513
#22
20.60.4
20.3→20.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 2.3
3145
#17
22.90.1
22.9→22.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.5