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Qual 12016 Idaho Regional
Red74
417517.9
212241.9
543017.4
Blue52
412530.1
587124.8
549918.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions765620401001207452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#1
41.90.2
38.3→38.5
Auto11.7
Teleop21.2
End9.0
red by 11.8
4125
#18
30.10.4
24.0→23.7
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.1
Second
4175
#27
17.90.2
16.9→17.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 6.9
5871
#9
24.89.8
24.8→15.0
Auto11.4
Teleop7.8
End5.7
Third
5430
#20
17.40.2
16.6→16.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 0.9
5499
#28
18.30.4
17.7→17.3
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed