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Qual 102016 Idaho Regional
Red73
417517.9
314522.9
323040.9
Blue57
546113.8
543017.4
39932.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90690204060801001201401607357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
40.90.7
42.4→41.7
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
red by 8.7
399
#14
32.21.8
34.6→32.7
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
3145
#17
22.91.2
24.3→23.1
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.5
red by 5.5
5430
#20
17.42.5
16.8→14.3
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
Third
4175
#27
17.91.2
17.2→16.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.0
red by 4.1
5461
#30
13.83.1
18.3→15.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed