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Qual 212016 Idaho Regional
Red66
420615.7
39932.2
208524.3
Blue129
587124.8
325048.4
581835.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6611020408010012014016018066129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#14
32.20.3
31.5→31.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
blue by 16.1
3250
#5
48.41.6
43.8→45.3
Auto15.2
Teleop22.8
End10.4
Second
2085
#23
24.30.3
21.1→20.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.6
End4.4
blue by 11.6
5818
#3
35.91.6
35.4→37.0
Auto7.6
Teleop22.8
End5.5
Third
4206
#19
15.70.3
17.9→17.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
blue by 9.1
5871
#9
24.82.4
21.4→23.8
Auto11.4
Teleop7.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsEarned