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Qual 242016 Idaho Regional
Red80
323040.9
189126.6
549619.8
Blue68
70132.9
324531.3
417517.9
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92832040601001201401608068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3230
#2
40.91.5
42.3→40.8
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
red by 8.0
701
#11
32.90.9
34.9→33.9
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.4
Second
1891
#6
26.61.5
25.2→23.6
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End3.7
blue by 4.6
3245
#10
31.30.9
28.1→27.1
Auto8.2
Teleop18.4
End4.6
Third
5496
#24
19.81.5
20.7→19.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End3.2
red by 1.9
4175
#27DQ
17.91.6
19.3→17.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed