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Qual 262016 Idaho Regional
Red22
324319.7
549619.8
543017.4
Blue84
39932.2
593122.3
314522.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5583020401001201402284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5496
#24
19.82.3
19.1→16.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End3.2
blue by 12.4
399
#14
32.20.5
32.8→33.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
Second
3243
#21
19.72.3
21.6→19.2
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End3.2
blue by 3.3
3145
#17
22.90.9
20.9→21.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.5
Third
5430
#20
17.42.3
16.5→14.2
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 4.9
5931
#16
22.30.9
22.4→23.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsMissed82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed