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Qual 382016 Idaho Regional
Red83
314522.9
324531.3
156617.8
Blue53
356223.4
621022.4
351320.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637720401001208353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#10
31.31.3
28.5→29.8
Auto8.2
Teleop18.4
End4.6
red by 7.9
3562
#15
23.42.5
26.3→23.8
Auto7.4
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Second
3145
#17
22.92.1
19.7→21.8
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.5
red by 0.6
6210
#12
22.42.5
21.8→19.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End4.2
Third
1566
#26
17.82.1
14.8→16.8
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End3.5
blue by 2.8
3513
#22
20.62.5
24.2→21.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed