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Qual 412016 Idaho Regional
Red51
351320.6
417517.9
548932.5
Blue132
325048.4
323040.9
621022.4
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6511420408010014016051132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5489
#8
32.52.0
30.7→28.8
Auto8.6
Teleop13.4
End10.4
blue by 15.9
3250
#5
48.41.6
42.2→43.8
Auto15.2
Teleop22.8
End10.4
Second
3513
#22
20.62.9
21.7→18.8
Auto5.3
Teleop12.0
End3.3
blue by 20.3
3230
#2
40.91.6
42.1→43.6
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
Third
4175
#27
17.92.9
18.2→15.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End2.0
blue by 4.5
6210
#12
22.42.3
19.3→21.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsMissed86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed14%Capture oddsEarned