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Red82
325118.7
549918.3
323040.9
Blue92
156617.8
621022.4
259429.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92612040801001201408292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.8
43.642.8
Auto10.4
Teleop21.6
End8.8
red by 11.6
2594
#13
29.32.0
26.128.1
Auto9.0
Teleop14.9
End5.4
Second
3251
#25
18.71.1
20.619.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.7
blue by 3.6
6210
#12
22.41.9
21.923.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.1
End4.2
Third
5499
#28
18.30.8
20.219.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 0.5
1566
#26
17.81.9
16.017.9
Auto2.9
Teleop11.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
7%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed