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Qual 582016 Idaho Regional
Red87
543017.4
189126.6
70132.9
Blue82
324319.7
400935.7
314522.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77842040601001201408782

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#11
32.90.8
33.8→34.5
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.4
blue by 2.8
4009
#7
35.70.1
36.3→36.4
Auto11.8
Teleop20.1
End3.8
Second
1891
#6
26.60.8
24.9→25.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.5
End3.7
red by 3.7
3145
#17
22.90.1
22.7→22.9
Auto5.5
Teleop14.0
End3.5
Third
5430
#20
17.40.8
16.7→17.4
Auto4.7
Teleop11.3
End1.4
blue by 2.2
3243
#21
19.70.1
21.2→21.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed