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Final 12016 Midwest Regional
Red152
245147.6
173647.5
335226.2
Blue121
233842.4
11144.5
424132.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149149130140160170180152121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#4
47.60.3
47.1→47.4
Auto14.8
Teleop26.3
End6.6
red by 3.1
111
#2
44.50.5
45.6→45.1
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
1736
#1
47.50.3
47.0→47.2
Auto14.8
Teleop23.7
End8.9
red by 5.1
2338
#3
42.40.5
43.4→42.9
Auto8.0
Teleop29.6
End4.7
Third
3352
#37
26.20.3
25.7→25.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.0
End5.2
blue by 5.9
4241
#15
32.10.5
33.1→32.6
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End6.0