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Quarterfinal 2-32016 Midwest Regional
Red114
37943.4
306131.5
464529.4
Blue163
206240.2
162542.1
582228.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions124150050100200250114163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#18
43.40.2
43.6→43.4
Auto8.8
Teleop24.0
End10.5
red by 1.3
1625
#7
42.10.1
42.5→42.7
Auto13.0
Teleop22.7
End6.4
Second
3061
#6
31.50.2
31.8→31.5
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
blue by 8.6
2062
#8
40.20.1
40.6→40.7
Auto10.3
Teleop24.6
End5.2
Third
4645
#33
29.40.2
29.6→29.4
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End6.4
red by 1.4
5822
#21
28.00.1
28.4→28.5
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End4.7