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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Midwest Regional
Red135
175643.1
414343.1
37525.2
Blue142
409626.6
432929.1
17131.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14410150200135142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.10.2
43.943.7
Auto12.6
Teleop25.0
End5.5
red by 12.1
171
#29
31.10.3
30.630.8
Auto8.9
Teleop16.5
End5.7
Second
1756
#14
43.10.2
43.843.6
Auto11.4
Teleop27.0
End4.8
red by 14.0
29.10.3
28.628.9
Auto10.2
Teleop14.7
End4.2
Third
375
#32
25.20.2
25.925.7
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.0
blue by 1.4
4096
#20
26.60.3
26.126.4
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End4.7