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Qual 162016 Midwest Regional
Red60
409626.6
270420.2
467613.7
Blue88
429220.8
582228.0
584731.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5476020401001201406088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4096
#20
26.60.3
22.8→23.1
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End4.7
blue by 4.7
5847
#10
31.30.8
31.1→31.9
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Second
2704
#22
20.20.3
16.0→16.3
Auto2.8
Teleop14.6
End2.8
blue by 7.8
5822
#21
28.00.9
22.9→23.8
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End4.7
Third
4676
#43
13.70.5
17.1→17.6
Auto1.6
Teleop9.9
End2.2
blue by 7.0
4292
#30
20.81.4
16.9→18.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned