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Qual 182016 Midwest Regional
Red137
245147.6
414343.1
306131.5
Blue49
178123.1
424712.3
339020.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12341010015020013749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#4
47.61.4
40.3→41.8
Auto14.8
Teleop26.3
End6.6
red by 24.5
1781
#27
23.10.3
24.1→23.8
Auto4.8
Teleop15.7
End2.6
Second
4143
#5
43.11.3
36.0→37.3
Auto12.6
Teleop25.0
End5.5
red by 23.1
3390
#34
20.10.4
16.3→15.9
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Third
3061
#6
31.51.4
31.2→32.7
Auto10.7
Teleop16.6
End4.2
red by 19.2
4247
#45
12.30.2
12.0→11.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed