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Red31
512515.2
31109.5
203927.6
Blue95
424132.1
313528.0
497920.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53720204060801003195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#13
27.61.6
24.122.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.0
blue by 4.5
4241
#15
32.11.9
26.328.1
Auto9.7
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
5125
#40
15.22.6
18.916.3
Auto3.2
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 12.8
3135
#23
28.03.1
20.623.7
Auto4.1
Teleop19.5
End4.3
Third
3110
#52
9.52.6
11.79.0
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 11.1
4979
#44
20.63.1
20.223.3
Auto9.0
Teleop10.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed