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Qual 362016 Midwest Regional
Red80
470211.1
37525.2
175643.1
Blue132
11144.5
270420.2
623723.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817505010015020080132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#14
43.10.2
41.0→41.2
Auto11.4
Teleop27.0
End4.8
blue by 1.4
111
#2
44.52.5
38.4→41.0
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
375
#32
25.20.2
26.1→26.3
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.0
red by 1.5
6237
#26
23.74.2
16.8→21.0
Auto6.6
Teleop13.3
End3.8
Third
4702
#51
11.10.3
10.3→10.6
Auto2.2
Teleop6.8
End2.1
blue by 9.1
2704
#22
20.22.5
18.6→21.1
Auto2.8
Teleop14.6
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned