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Qual 392016 Midwest Regional
Red84
419123.4
582228.0
369528.4
Blue95
465529.1
93129.4
313528.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67832040601001201408495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3695
#25
28.41.9
27.8→29.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.5
End4.3
blue by 1.0
931
#17
29.41.1
26.5→27.6
Auto8.3
Teleop16.7
End4.4
Second
5822
#21
28.01.1
26.1→27.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End4.7
blue by 1.1
4655
#24
29.11.1
28.2→29.3
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End4.4
Third
4191
#36
23.41.9
13.3→15.2
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End3.2
blue by 4.6
3135
#23
28.01.8
23.7→25.6
Auto4.1
Teleop19.5
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed