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Red66
31109.5
306726.8
37525.2
Blue105
245147.6
339020.1
419123.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57810204010012014066105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3067
#38
26.80.5
22.723.1
Auto9.8
Teleop12.4
End4.6
blue by 20.8
47.62.0
42.744.6
Auto14.8
Teleop26.3
End6.6
Second
375
#32
25.20.5
26.326.7
Auto8.7
Teleop13.6
End3.0
red by 1.8
4191
#36
23.43.3
15.218.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End3.2
Third
3110
#52
9.50.8
10.110.9
Auto1.2
Teleop6.7
End1.6
blue by 10.6
3390
#34
20.13.3
17.320.6
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed