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Red65
173921.0
185015.6
203927.6
Blue101
11144.5
409626.6
584731.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50110010015065101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#13
27.60.5
23.624.1
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.0
blue by 17.0
111
#2
44.50.4
41.040.5
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End4.8
Second
1739
#31
21.00.5
17.317.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.3
End3.8
blue by 10.3
5847
#10
31.30.4
32.532.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.8
End4.3
Third
1850
#47
15.60.8
16.817.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End2.6
blue by 11.0
4096
#20
26.60.4
24.123.7
Auto8.4
Teleop13.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned