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Qual 622016 Midwest Regional
Red108
593421.3
206240.2
203927.6
Blue95
339020.1
582228.0
465529.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857320406010012014016010895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2062
#8
40.21.8
40.3→42.2
Auto10.3
Teleop24.6
End5.2
red by 11.1
4655
#24
29.11.5
28.9→30.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.7
End4.4
Second
2039
#13
27.61.8
24.8→26.7
Auto4.3
Teleop20.2
End3.0
blue by 0.4
5822
#21
28.01.5
26.8→28.3
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End4.7
Third
5934
#39
21.32.8
15.4→18.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.6
End2.7
red by 1.2
3390
#34
20.12.3
16.9→19.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
5%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned